Seminario del 2018
Settembre
27
2018
Pietro Rigo - Università di Pavia
nell'ambito della serie: SEMINARI DI PROBABILITÀ E STATISTICA MATEMATICA
Seminario di probabilità
The standard (Kolmogorovian) notion of conditional probability is compared
with the (de Finettian) notion based on the coherence principle. Each notion has both merits and drawbacks, and the talk aims to highlight them with special attention to the connection points. Various results, both old and new, are discussed and some open problems are mentioned. The talk is split into four
parts.
(i) Classical (Kolmogorovian) conditional probabilities;
(ii) Disintegrability;
(iii) Coherent (de Finettian) conditional probabilities;
(iv) Some statistical implications.