Seminario del 2010
Marzo
01
2010
Cesare Reina, SISSA (Trieste)
nell'ambito della serie: SEMINARI DI FISICA MATEMATICA
Seminario di fisica matematica
One period portfolio optimisation is investigated by using and
comparing several cost functions which measure the portfolio risk as
the classical volatility, the conditional VAR, the expected
short-fall. We set up a Monte Carlo simulation of prices of a given
asset system for the next 3 years, based on the historical
multivariate distribution of price fluctuations. One period
optimisation is then repeated at the beginning of each year: a
strategy is the choice of an optimal portfolio at each of these times.
There are several strategies leading to a given final expected return
and among these
we choose the ``best strategy'' as the one with minimum risk as
measured by the realized value of the chosen cost function on the
simulated piece of the time-series.